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Melbourne Cup 2013
3 Nov 2013
"Carbine" (Andrew Beattie) and "Hyperion" (Robert Bishop) give you their thoughts on this year's Melbourne Cup.
Carbine’s thoughts on the 2013 Melbourne Cup –
"This year’s Cup has probably the strongest field ever assembled for ‘the race that stops a nation’, mainly due to the overseas trained contingent, Team Williams having 25% of the 24 horse field to face the starter, and only 5 locally bred stayers.
After much deliberation I have narrowed the field down to 6 horses that should fight out the finish. All are either trained in Europe or came over for the 2012 Cup –
Sea Moon – I saw him win the G2 Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot when I went over to see Black Caviar win the Diamond Jubilee. Sea Moon won by over 3 lengths from a previous Cup winner and a Cup place-getter ie. Dunaden and Red Cadeaux. Since purchased by Lloyd Williams his form has been excellent in lead up races here in Oz, Steve Arnold to do the steering.
Simenon, trained by wily Irishman Willie Mullins. I backed him on the first day at Royal Ascot and also on the final day, Black Caviar day. He won both races, each over 4000 metres +, therefore he can certainly stay. This year he ran a neck 2nd in the Gold Cup at Ascot, erroneously called the Ascot Gold Cup by many. Ace Irlsh jockey Richard Hughes to ride.
Dandino, trained by Marco Botti at Newmarket. He ran second in this year’s Caulfield Cup to Team Williams’ Fawkner. English champion jockey Ryan Moore aboard.
Green Moon, last year’s Melbourne Cup winner with the same winning combination of Team Williams and Hong Kong based Brett Prebble.
Verema, mare owned by the Aga Khan, to be ridden by Chris Lemaire and trained by Alain de Royer-Dupree. Alain considers the mare to be better than Americain, a previous Cup winner he trained.
Fiorente, trained by Gai Waterhouse and to be ridden by Damien Oliver. Fiorente ran 2nd to Green Moon in last year’s Cup and recently ran a slashing 3rd in the Cox Plate. Currently the $7 favourite."
"This is an extraordinary field where 18 of the 24 horses have a live chance. The record trifecta dividend on the Melbourne Cup was $61,867.90 for a $1 stake in 1993 and that could conceivably be bettered with so many horses with fine chances, many at good odds. I have a feeling that it could be Gai Waterhouse's year to record her first win with live chances with last years runner-up Fiorente and the lightly weighted Tres Blue or a first time win for the Aga Khan with the super Verema, who I have admired for some time. At the end of the day I tip:
1. Verema (NAP)
3. Sea Moon
Please click here for Paddy Power's ante-post odds on the 2013 Melbourne Cup and other important future races
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